#9950. Managing the trade-off between groundwater resources and large-scale agriculture: the case of pistachio production in Iran

September 2026publication date
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Social Sciences (miscellaneous);
Strategy and Management;
Management of Technology and Innovation;
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Abstract:
Benefiting from historically favorable conditions (e.g. low costs, fertile land, and abundant water), pistachio producers in Rafsanjan, Iran, have flourished, with pistachio orchards and production growing dramatically since the 1970s. Today, however, the enormous increase in water consumption associated with pistachio production has severely depleted groundwater aquifers, causing widespread water shortages in the region. In this article, we develop a comprehensive system dynamics model, combining the agronomic, economic, hydrologic, and behavioral aspects to analyze the long-term implications of pistachio production.
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