#9945. Group-Specific Responses to Retrospective Economic Performance: A Multilevel Analysis of Parliamentary Elections

September 2026publication date
Proposal available till 25-05-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript0 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Political Science and International Relations;
Sociology and Political Science;
Social Sciences (miscellaneous);
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Abstract:
What is the relationship between electoral and economic performance? Previous literature posits that poor economic performance hurts the incumbent at the ballot box because overall economic performance serves as a competence signal, which voters can readily access at low costs. Building on an emerging economic voting literature exploring heterogeneity in the electorate, this article argues that social groups are affected differently by various dimensions of economic performance and that their sociotropic sanctioning of incumbents is contingent on the retrospective performance of these dimensions.
Keywords:
economic voting; inflation; political economy; public spending; stock market; unemployment

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