#7854. Empirical-Markovian approach for estimating the flexible pavement structural capacity: Caltrans method as a case study

October 2026publication date
Proposal available till 15-05-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript0 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Civil and Structural Engineering;
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law;
Automotive Engineering;
Transportation;
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Abstract:
An Empirical-Markovian approach is proposed to estimate the pavement structural capacity as a function of key stochastic and design parameters. The key stochastic parameters are the initial and terminal deterioration transition probabilities typically estimated from pavement distress records. These two transition probabilities have a major impact on the pavement performance trend predicted using Markovian processes.
Keywords:
Flexible pavement; Markovian processes; Pavement design; Pavement rehabilitation; Structural capacity

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