#7509. Typhoon hazard analysis based on the probability density evolution theory

October 2026publication date
Proposal available till 19-05-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript0 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Civil and Structural Engineering;
Mechanical Engineering;
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment;
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Abstract:
In this article, a new typhoon hazard analysis method is presented by introducing the probability density evolution theory. In the suggested method, the randomness in the typhoon occurrence is represented by the combination of a homogeneous Poisson process and a joint probability density function for both the typhoon genesis time and the genesis position. Then a set of physical models, including a typhoon intensity model, a typhoon track model and a boundary layer wind field model, is introduced to describe the typhoon process. The typhoon intensity model with high efficiency is used to simulate the evolution of typhoon intensity given the environmental variables.
Keywords:
Boundary layer; Hazard analysis; Intensity; Probability density evolution; Track; Typhoon

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