#6615. Pathway toward carbon-neutral electrical systems in China by mid-century with negative CO2 abatement costs informed by high-resolution modeling

December 2026publication date
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Journal’s subject area:
Energy (all);
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Abstract:
China, the largest global CO2 emitter, recently announced ambitious targets for carbon neutrality by 2060. Its technical and economic feasibility is unclear given severe renewable integration barriers. Here, we developed a cross-sector, high-resolution assessment model to quantify optimal energy structures on provincial bases for different years. Hourly power system simulations for all provinces for a full year are incorporated on the basis of comprehensive grid data to quantify the renewable balancing costs.
Keywords:
carbon neutrality, decarbonization pathway, power system planning, flexibility, electric vehicles, power-to-gas, storage, transmission expansion

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