#6351. Financial Estimation of the Uncertainty in Medicine Using Present Value of Medical Fees and a Mortality Risk Prediction Model: a Retrospective Cohort Study

October 2026publication date
Proposal available till 03-06-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript0 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Health Informatics;
Medicine (miscellaneous);
Information Systems;
Health Information Management;
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More details about the manuscript: Science Citation Index Expanded or/and Social Sciences Citation Index
Abstract:
This study aimed to develop a method to enable the financial estimation of each patient’s uncertainty without focusing on healthcare technology. We define financial uncertainty (FU) as the difference between an actual amount of claim (AC) and the discounted present value of the AC (DAC). DAC can be calculated based on a discounted present value calculated using a cash flow, a period of investment, and a discount rate. The present study considered these three items as AC, the length of hospital stay, and the predicted mortality rate. The mortality prediction model was built using typical data items in standard level electronic medical records such as sex, age, and disease information.
Keywords:
Discounted present value; Electronic medical record; Mortality prediction model; Uncertainty

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