#2678. Modulation of mid-Atlantic tropical cyclone landfalls by the Madden-Julian Oscillation

January 2027publication date
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4 total number of authors per manuscript4500 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous);
Statistics and Probability;
Engineering (miscellaneous);
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Abstract:
The article explores the relationship between mid-Atlantic landfalls of TCs and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), which is the main source of climate variability in the tropics on intra-seasonal timescales. The results show that for longer lead times (between 14 and 7 days prior to landfall), statistically significant peak landfall probabilities are present during phases 1 and 7 of MJO and, to some extent, phase 8.
Keywords:
modulation; mid-Atlantic tropical cyclones; land

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