#2628. Explaining destinations and volumes of international arms transfers: A novel network Heckman selection model

December 2026publication date
Proposal available till 30-05-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript4010 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Political Science and International Relations;
Economics and Econometrics;
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Abstract:
The article analyzes an innovative statistical strategy based on the gravitational approach and combining Heckmans model with network analysis. The results show that networks have significant explanatory power for trade linkages. They are much less suitable for explaining trade volumes, which are mainly driven by demand factors.
Keywords:
Arms trade; Gravity equation; Heckman; Maximum likelihood; Network analysis

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