#2173. The effectiveness of job creation tax credits

June 2026publication date
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5 total number of authors per manuscript5020 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Economics and Econometrics;
Law
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Abstract:
We estimate the causal effects of job creation tax credits on employment using the exogenous spatial and time variations in the value of the credits across 159 counties over a 15-year period. We employ three empirical approaches: regression discontinuity design models making use of the sharp discontinuity in eligibility for credits of different value; difference-in-differences models using inter temporal and inter and intra-county changes in credit value; and employment differences in bordering census tracts that qualify for different valued credits. We obtain mixed results, but in general they provide little evidence for the proposition that job creation tax credits create additional employment.
Keywords:
Job creation tax credits; State economic development; State employment growth

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