#2164. Geo-politics and the impact of Chinas outward investment on developing countries: evidence from the Great Recession

September 2026publication date
Proposal available till 07-06-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript6510 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Economics and Econometrics;
Business and International Management;
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Abstract:
Using a novel dataset on Chinese large-scale overseas investment and project contracts by sector and mode of entry, we analyze whether Chinese outward activity (COA) before the Great Recession worsened or alleviated the contractionary phases in developing countries. We find that, on average, COA did not increase recessionary vulnerability. Both sectoral targeting and the size of pre-crisis engagement matter. Additionally, the mode of entry, i.e. through either greenfield investment or mergers and acquisitions, also matters.
Keywords:
Developing countries; Global crisis; Offshoring; Sectoral transmission

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