#2160. Long-term spatial modelling for characteristics of extreme heat events

July 2026publication date
Proposal available till 28-05-2025
5 total number of authors per manuscript6020 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Statistics and Probability;
Ecology
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Abstract:
Using approximately 60-year time series of daily maximum temperature data collected at 18 locations in a given region, we propose a spatio-temporal model to study EHE characteristics over time, such as incidence and duration, as well as the magnitude of the average exceedance and maximum exceedance above the threshold. The model enables prediction of the behaviour of EHE characteristics at unobserved locations within the region.
Keywords:
daily maximum temperatures; hierarchical model; Markov chain Monte Carlo; seasonality; thresholds; two-state process

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