#12211. Social prediction: a new research paradigm based on machine learning

July 2026publication date
Proposal available till 16-05-2025
4 total number of authors per manuscript0 $

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Journal’s subject area:
Sociology and Political Science;
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Abstract:
For many years, due to data and computing power constraints, quantitative research in social science has primarily focused on statistical tests to analyze correlations and causality, leaving predictions largely ignored. By sorting out the historical context of social prediction, this article redefines this concept by introducing why and how machine learning can help prediction in a scientific way. Furthermore, this article summarizes the academic value and governance value of social prediction and suggests that it is a potential breakthrough in the contemporary social research paradigm. We believe that through machine learning, we can witness the advent of an era of a paradigm shift from correlation and causality to social prediction. This shift will provide a rare opportunity for sociology in China to become the international frontier of computational social sciences and accelerate the construction of philosophy and social science with Chinese characteristics.
Keywords:
Computational social sciences; Machine learning; Quantitative research methods; Research paradigm; Social prediction

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