#11794. The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health calls for police service

July 2026publication date
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Journal’s subject area:
Cultural Studies;
Law;
Urban Studies;
Safety Research;
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Abstract:
Drawing upon seven years of police calls for service data (20XX–20XX), this study examined the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on calls involving persons with perceived mental illness (PwPMI) using a Bayesian Structural Time Series. The findings revealed that PwPMI calls did not increase immediately after the beginning of the pandemic in March 20XX. Instead, a sustained increase in PwPMI calls was identified in August 20XX that later became statistically significant in October 20XX. Ultimately, the analysis revealed a 22% increase in PwPMI calls during the COVID-19 pandemic than would have been expected had the pandemic not taken place. The delayed effect of the pandemic on such calls points to a need for policymakers to prioritize widely accessible mental health care that can be deployed early during public health emergencies thus potentially mitigating or eliminating the need for increased police intervention, as was the case here.
Keywords:
Bayesian Structural Time Series; COVID-19; Mental Health; Police

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