#3710. Autonomous Vehicle Accident Data Analysis: California OL 316 Reports: 20XX-20XX

October 2026publication date
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Journal’s subject area:
Engineering
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Abstract:
AV test drivers self-report every crash, whereas average drivers underreport minor accidents, so the reporting correction factor permits comparison. AV AM mileage is only a few million km over the last few years, with virtually no police-reported crash data yet available. 316 crash consequence data is anecdotal and inconsistently self-reported. The collision report data indicate the AV test fleet exhibits multiples of the human crash frequency. Invariably, the AV accidents are the human drivers fault, with a majority being rear collisions. The human drivers appear less able to anticipate the AVs more conservative driving. AV experience predicts more widespread deployment of existing AV technologies is not likely to reduce vehicle crash frequency, at least in the short term, and might well increase it.
Keywords:
human crash frequency; reduce vehicle crash; drivers

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