#7434. Non-integer (or fractional) power model to represent the complexity of a viral spreading: Application to the COVID-19

November 2026publication date
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Journal’s subject area:
Control and Systems Engineering;
Software;
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Abstract:
This article proposes a very simple deterministic mathematical model, which, by using a power-law, is a non-integer power model (or fractional power model (FPM)). Such a model, in non-integer power of time, namely tm up to constants, enables representing the totality of the contaminated individuals at each day, with a good precision, thus expressing the interest of this tool for time series.
Keywords:
A FPM model as a convexity or concavity model, Power-law; COVID-19; Internal dynamics dispersion; Modeling; Non-integer (or fractional) differentiation or integration; Prediction, Time series, Fractional (or non-integer) power model (FPM); Self-filtering internal structure; Viral spreading

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